Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.026467 0.028527 0.030596 0.032828 0.035165 0.037536 0.040120
2025-11-30 0.022464 0.025675 0.029020 0.032753 0.036788 0.041007 0.045737
2025-12-07 0.019630 0.023457 0.027554 0.032240 0.037422 0.042950 0.049267
2025-12-14 0.017384 0.021609 0.026243 0.031655 0.037753 0.044367 0.052040
2025-12-21 0.015418 0.019897 0.024920 0.030898 0.037749 0.045291 0.054155
2025-12-28 0.014577 0.019396 0.024898 0.031547 0.039268 0.047864 0.058067
2026-01-04 0.013546 0.018589 0.024451 0.031641 0.040099 0.049616 0.061019
2026-01-11 0.012532 0.017732 0.023885 0.031540 0.040655 0.051016 0.063541
2026-01-18 0.011992 0.017418 0.023935 0.032141 0.042009 0.053321 0.067091
2026-01-25 0.011186 0.016720 0.023476 0.032092 0.042566 0.054674 0.069524
2026-02-01 0.010463 0.016087 0.023060 0.032065 0.043120 0.056006 0.071917
2026-02-08 0.009800 0.015493 0.022662 0.032031 0.043644 0.057284 0.074235
2026-02-15 0.009047 0.014776 0.022120 0.031848 0.044037 0.058476 0.076549
2026-02-22 0.008377 0.014143 0.021669 0.031772 0.044565 0.059847 0.079105
2026-03-01 0.007597 0.013309 0.020913 0.031270 0.044533 0.060515 0.080802
2026-03-08 0.006859 0.012485 0.020130 0.030696 0.044380 0.061012 0.082271
2026-03-15 0.006124 0.011619 0.019248 0.029954 0.043980 0.061180 0.083322
2026-03-22 0.005916 0.011522 0.019412 0.030590 0.045338 0.063520 0.087026
2026-03-29 0.005545 0.011154 0.019181 0.030683 0.045986 0.064973 0.089642
2026-04-05 0.005141 0.010710 0.018821 0.030584 0.046372 0.066088 0.091839
2026-04-12 0.004971 0.010626 0.018969 0.031172 0.047655 0.068335 0.095441
2026-04-19 0.004629 0.010242 0.018665 0.031125 0.048092 0.069506 0.097708
2026-04-26 0.004316 0.009885 0.018385 0.031098 0.048546 0.070694 0.099992